Illustrating the evolution from PID control to autonomous systems, Reynolds explained that the first step is to start with a physical system—an entire plant or a production line—and create a model or digital twin of this system that shows how that system responds to changes to inputs or operational parameters, as well as disturbances.
This model, which sets the stage for autonomy, is created via hybrid modeling. Reynolds said hybrid modeling is developed through two processes: first, there is input from an engineer followed by input from a data scientist who understands AI (artificial intelligence).
“There’s a delta between what an engineer knows and what a data scientist does to derive a model that can learn rather than being programmed,” said Reynolds. He stressed that, to develop an effective model for autonomous operations, you need the engineer to define basic principles and have the data scientist close out the gaps to ensure the model performs to standards. “This is hybrid modeling,” he said.
Autonomic control
Rockwell Automation is focusing on this area because it views autonomy problems as control problems.
“Feedforward control was one of first predictive applications of control,” said Reynolds. “It expands on feedback control and provides early indications of a state that is yet to come so that it can be addressed proactively. Model predictive control (MPC) is a modern version of feedback control, where you use multivariable models to characterize how a system performs. We use those models to control a system better than we could with PID.”
Reynolds noted that Rockwell Automation acquired Pavilion Technologies in 2007 for its MPC technology.
“MPC is good with highly predictive systems that don’t change that much,” said Reynolds. “But it falls short when recipes or parameters change. The MPC must be updated because it does not adapt on its own. That’s where adaptive control comes in. In adaptive control, the model doesn’t have to be perfect because it can adjust to changes.”